Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Parma had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
