Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
FeralpiSalo	Draw	Spezia
28.82% ( 1.52)	26.13% ( 0.9)	45.05% ( -2.42)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

-1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.25% (

-2.78)

52.75% (

2.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.62% (

-2.43)

74.38% (

2.43)

FeralpiSalo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

-0.29)

32.99% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

-0.33)

69.57% (

0.33)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

-2.27)

23.34% (

2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.7% (

-3.42)

57.3% (

3.42)

Score Analysis

FeralpiSalo 28.82%

Spezia 45.04%

Draw 26.13%

FeralpiSalo	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.82%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.81) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 1% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.04%