Como

2 - 1

Ternana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.