Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Bari
32.71% ( 2.1)	27.56% ( -0.22)	39.73% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 48.7% (

1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.06% (

1.35)

56.94% (

-1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.15% (

1.07)

77.84% (

-1.07)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

2.2)

32.36% (

-2.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.13% (

2.41)

68.87% (

-2.41)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72% (

-0.4)

28% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.36% (

-0.51)

63.64% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Ternana 32.71%

Bari 39.72%

Draw 27.56%

Ternana	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.71%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.74) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.72%