Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Bari had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Bari
41.99% ( 0.02)	26.73% ( 0.01)	31.28% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

-0.04)

54.12% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45% (

-0.04)

75.54% (

0.03)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

-0.01)

25.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

-0.02)

60.3% (

0.01)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

-0.04)

31.91% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

-0.04)

68.36% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 41.98%

Bari 31.28%

Draw 26.73%

Cremonese	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.98%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.28%