Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Como had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.