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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Monza

Como
1 - 1
Monza

Engelhardt (36')
Paz (44'), Sala (83'), Iovine (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Caprari (54' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-0 Monza

The stakes are already high in this battle at the bottom of Serie A, and it should be a tight, tense encounter. Neither side has scored freely this term, so one goal may decide the points' destiny - and hosts Como could claim them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawMonza
45.09% (0.753 0.75) 26.66% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 28.26% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.54 -0.54)55.07% (0.543 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.447 -0.45)76.33% (0.45099999999999 0.45)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.131 0.13)24.34% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.185 0.19)58.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)34.65% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.963 -0.96)71.38% (0.967 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Como 45.08%
    Monza 28.26%
    Draw 26.66%
ComoDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.91% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.08%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.26%

How you voted: Como vs Monza

Como
66.7%
Draw
26.2%
Monza
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Como
2-0
Monza
Cerri (55'), La Gumina (80')
Cagnano (31'), Gabrielloni (88')

Mota (23'), Ciurria (86')
Nov 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Monza
3-2
Como
Mota (16', 29'), Pepin (88')
Pereira (26'), Valoti (49'), Colpani (84'), Pepin (88')
Bellemo (60'), Vignali (65')
Bellemo (42'), Arrigoni (47'), Cerri (58')
Cerri (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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