Mirandes

2 - 1

Burgos

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.