Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 27.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.