Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.

Result
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Elgin City
48.03% ( 1.33)	23.94% ( 0.09)	28.02% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 57.92% (

-1.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

-1.33)

43.91% (

1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

-1.31)

66.29% (

1.31)

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58% (

0.01)

18.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42% (

0.02)

49.58% (

-0.02)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71% (

-1.66)

28.99% (

1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.1% (

-2.11)

64.89% (

2.11)

Score Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 48.03%

Elgin City 28.02%

Draw 23.93%

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Elgin City
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.03%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.43% Total : 28.02%