Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.