Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.