Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Queen of the South
23.39% ( -0.02)	22.9% ( -0.01)	53.7% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.76% (

0.02)

43.24% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.36% (

0.02)

65.63% (

-0.03)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.01)

32.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.01)

68.79% (

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.93% (

0.02)

16.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.56% (

0.03)

45.43% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 23.39%

Queen of the South 53.7%

Draw 22.9%

Elgin City	Draw	Queen of the South
2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.39%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.7%