Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.