Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Morton2 - 0Montrose
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Greenock Morton and Montrose.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morton 1-1 Partick
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Montrose 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Montrose |
| 61.25% | 20.86% | 17.89% |
| Both teams to score 55.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
