Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
59.37% ( 0.26) | 21.29% ( -0.08) | 19.34% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% ( 0.12) | 41.15% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.45% ( 0.12) | 63.54% ( -0.12) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( 0.12) | 13.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.43% ( 0.24) | 40.57% ( -0.23) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.06% ( -0.11) | 34.94% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.32% ( -0.12) | 71.68% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 59.37% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |