Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
34.26% ( 0.05) | 24.96% ( 0.09) | 40.78% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.53% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.21% ( -0.41) | 45.79% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( -0.4) | 68.11% ( 0.4) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( -0.16) | 25.88% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( -0.22) | 60.86% ( 0.23) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( -0.25) | 22.38% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.11% ( -0.38) | 55.89% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |