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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Inverness CT

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Inverness


Alston (75'), McGowan (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gardyne (5')
Devine (24'), Sutherland (42'), Allardice (88')

The Match

Match Report

Michael Gardyne's early goal settled matters.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
51.23%25.61%23.15%
Both teams to score 48.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37%54.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04%75.96%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68%54.32%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19%38.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46%75.54%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 51.23%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 23.15%
    Draw 25.61%
KilmarnockDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 23.15%

Head to Head
May 13, 2017 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-1
Inverness
Longstaff (17'), Jones (57')
Wilson (15'), Smith (16')
Fisher (71')
McKay (15')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Inverness
1-1
Kilmarnock
McKay (25')
McKay (34')
Boyd (19' pen.)
Dicker (76')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Inverness
Coulibaly (73')
McKenzie (45'), Taylor (64'), Smith (90')
Warren (84')
Draper (16'), Polworth (91')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Inverness
1-1
Kilmarnock
Doumbouya (86')
Polworth (63'), Meekings (80'), Vigurs (94')
Coulibaly (7' pen.)
Boyd (26'), Hendrie (88')
Apr 24, 2016 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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