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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Inverness CT

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Inverness


Alston (75'), McGowan (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gardyne (5')
Devine (24'), Sutherland (42'), Allardice (88')

The Match

Match Report

Michael Gardyne's early goal settled matters.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
51.23%25.61%23.15%
Both teams to score 48.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37%54.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04%75.96%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68%54.32%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19%38.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46%75.54%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 51.23%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 23.15%
    Draw 25.61%
KilmarnockDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 23.15%

Head to Head
May 13, 2017 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-1
Inverness
Longstaff (17'), Jones (57')
Wilson (15'), Smith (16')
Fisher (71')
McKay (15')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Inverness
1-1
Kilmarnock
McKay (25')
McKay (34')
Boyd (19' pen.)
Dicker (76')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Inverness
Coulibaly (73')
McKenzie (45'), Taylor (64'), Smith (90')
Warren (84')
Draper (16'), Polworth (91')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Inverness
1-1
Kilmarnock
Doumbouya (86')
Polworth (63'), Meekings (80'), Vigurs (94')
Coulibaly (7' pen.)
Boyd (26'), Hendrie (88')
Apr 24, 2016 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk129212581729
2Livingston12651159623
3Ayr UnitedAyr126331811721
4Partick ThistlePartick12543117419
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park125431211119
6Hamilton AcademicalHamilton124351717015
7Raith Rovers124261014-414
8Greenock MortonMorton12246716-910
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline12237913-49
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians12129624-185


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