Scottish Championship | Gameweek 29
Mar 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr1 - 3Kilmarnock
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Kilmarnock.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Partick
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Ayr vs. Elgin
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 35 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Fraserburgh vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.48%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 17.48% | 26.67% | 55.85% |
| Both teams to score 38.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.28% | 63.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.02% | 82.98% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.59% | 50.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.06% | 84.94% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% | 23.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.91% | 57.09% |
| Score Analysis |
Ayr United 17.48%
Kilmarnock 55.84%
Draw 26.67%
| Ayr United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 4.01% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.48% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 2.93% Other @ 0.35% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 17.08% 0-2 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-3 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-4 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.32% Total : 55.84% |
How you voted: Ayr vs Kilmarnock
Ayr United
64.7%Draw
17.6%Kilmarnock
17.6%17
