Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
NK Istra 1961	Draw	Gorica
42.02% ( -0.09)	26.69% ( 0.11)	31.29% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

-0.45)

53.97% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

-0.37)

75.42% (

0.38)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.25)

25.38% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.82% (

-0.34)

60.18% (

0.35)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

-0.24)

31.83% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

-0.28)

68.27% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

NK Istra 1961 42.02%

Gorica 31.29%

Draw 26.69%

NK Istra 1961	Draw	Gorica
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.29%