Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 2Porto
We said: Arouca 1-2 Porto
Porto may have found victories hard to come by in recent outings, but with the risk of losing further ground on the top two, they appear the more determined side heading into this clash. Arouca have proven a tough nut to crack of late, yet the visitors are expected to dig deep and secure a vital win, drawing confidence from their strong record at the Municipal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-0 (6.12%).
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Porto |
19.47% ( -0.17) | 23.05% ( -0.13) | 57.47% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( 0.29) | 48.63% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( 0.27) | 70.75% ( -0.27) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.02) | 39.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.15% ( -0.02) | 75.85% ( 0.02) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( 0.21) | 16.66% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.47% ( 0.38) | 46.52% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 19.47%
Porto 57.47%
Draw 23.05%
| Arouca | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 57.47% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Porto
Arouca
8.3%Draw
37.5%Porto
54.2%24
