Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.