Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.