Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 6

Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 0
Everton

Ward-Prowse (27'), Adams (35')
Walker-Peters (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bernard (64'), Calvert-Lewin (90+2')
Digne (72')

Everton's Lucas Digne has three-match suspension reduced to one game

The Frenchman was due to spend three matches on the sidelines following his red card at Southampton.

Oct 27, 17:35

Carlo Ancelotti denies Everton discipline problem after another red card

Lucas Digne was shown his marching orders at Southampton on Sunday.

Oct 26, 12:29

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured during his side's EFL Cup clash with Fleetwood on September 23, 2020

Carlo Ancelotti confirms Everton will appeal Lucas Digne's red card

The French defender was sent off for his challenge on Kyle Walker-Peters but Toffees boss Carlo Ancelotti was not impressed.

Oct 25, 17:12

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Everton
39.53%	26.46%	34.01%

Both teams to score 52.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.63%

52.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.95%

74.05%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.98%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8%

29.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85%

65.15%

Score Analysis

Southampton 39.52%

Everton 34.01%

Draw 26.46%

Southampton	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.52%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.01%