Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
4 - 2
Brighton

Calvert-Lewin (16'), Mina (45+2'), Rodriguez (52', 70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Maupay (41'), Bissouma (90+2')
Alzate (4')

Dominic Calvert-Lewin "reaping the rewards"

The 23-year-old scored his ninth goal of the season against Brighton ahead of his first call-up to the England senior team.

Oct 4, 10:06

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on September 26, 2020

Carlo Ancelotti: 'We must remain focused amid strong start'

The Toffees have won seven games in a row in all competitions.

Oct 3, 18:34

The Match

Match Report

The striker was called up to the England squad earlier this week.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
49.92%	26.22%	23.86%

Both teams to score 47.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.73%

56.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.69%

77.3%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4%

22.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78%

56.21%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93%

39.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22%

75.78%

Score Analysis

Everton 49.92%

Brighton & Hove Albion 23.86%

Draw 26.21%

Everton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.92%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.86%