Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.