Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal Under-21s in this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
29.55% ( 0.21)	20.73% ( 0.13)	49.72% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 71.04% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.75% (

-0.5)

27.25% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.2% (

-0.63)

47.8% (

0.64)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

-0.14)

19.55% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.54% (

-0.24)

51.46% (

0.24)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.3% (

-0.27)

11.7% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.2% (

-0.59)

36.8% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Sunderland Under-21s 29.55%

Arsenal Under-21s 49.72%

Draw 20.73%

Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.55%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.73%	1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.98% Total : 49.72%