MX23RW : Sunday, December 29 18:09:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 1
Carrick

O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Purkis (60')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 2-0 Linfield
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 86.01%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.98%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCarrick Rangers
86.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 9.9% (0.012 0.01) 4.09% (0.014900000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.9% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.79% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)31.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.37% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.63% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)4.96% (0.0038999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.14% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)19.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.98% (0.062000000000005 0.06)58.01% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.4% (0.038 0.04)89.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Larne 86%
    Carrick Rangers 4.09%
    Draw 9.9%
LarneDrawCarrick Rangers
3-0 @ 12.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 7.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 3.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
6-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
7-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 86%
1-1 @ 4.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 9.9%
0-1 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
1-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 4.09%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
2-3
Larne
Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
0-1
Larne
Gordon (79')
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Carrick
1-1
Larne
Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Lynch (38')
(33'), Hughes (62'), (84'), (88')
Bolger (9'), Scott (85')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013


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