Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Coleraine in this match.