Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.