Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
