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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Epet Arena
Albania national football team

Czech Republic
2 - 0
Albania

Chory (3', 63')
Hlozek (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Daku (44'), Mendes Campos Junior (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Czech Republic and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Czech Republic

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Albania

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Czech Republic 2-1 Albania

 Approaching the midpoint of this Nations League campaign, there is plenty at stake: winning Group 1 offers a potential route into the next World Cup. As Albania do not tend to travel well, Czech Republic should continue their scoring streak on home turf, and victory will put them back in the hunt for top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 13.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Czech RepublicDrawAlbania
66.4% (-0.199 -0.2) 20.41% (0.137 0.14) 13.19% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.431 -0.43)48.61% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.393 -0.39)70.73% (0.393 0.39)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (-0.194 -0.19)13.77% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (-0.386 -0.39)41.07% (0.386 0.39)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (-0.169 -0.17)47.34% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.26% (-0.127 -0.13)82.74% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Czech Republic 66.4%
    Albania 13.19%
    Draw 20.41%
Czech RepublicDrawAlbania
1-0 @ 12.92% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 12.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.063 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 13.19%

How you voted: Czech Republic vs Albania

Czech Republic
68.3%
Draw
13.4%
Albania
18.3%
142
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Albania
3-0
Czech Republic
Asani (9'), Sulejmanov (51', 73')
Bajrami (60')

Chytil (25'), Coufal (40'), Provod (62')
Chytil (39')
> Preview
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
1-1
Albania
Cerny (56')
Provod (90+6'), Chytil (90+7')
Bajrami (66')
Asani (52'), Bajrami (67')
> Preview
Jun 8, 2021 7.15pm
Friendlies 1
Czech Republic
3-1
Albania
Schick (18'), Masopust (68'), Celustka (89')
Soucek (55')
Cikalleshi (42')
Abrashi (54')
> Preview
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