We said: Ukraine 2-1 Albania
Albania showed over the summer that they are no pushovers and can frustrate the bigger nations on their day, so they have reason to be optimistic heading into Saturday's clash with Ukraine. Having said that, we feel that the Blue and Yellow will find a way to claim maximum points from a tight contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Albania had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.