Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Fylde |
57.77% ( 0.32) | 21.35% ( -0.11) | 20.87% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 58.64% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% ( 0.22) | 39.21% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.45% ( 0.23) | 61.55% ( -0.24) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.62% ( 0.17) | 13.37% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.72% ( 0.34) | 40.28% ( -0.35) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( -0.07) | 32.3% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( -0.08) | 68.8% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Fylde |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 20.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |