Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.