Gloucester City

3 - 2

Kidderminster

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.