National League North | Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton1 - 2Curzon Ashton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Boston
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Fylde 3-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
30
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
57.92% ( 5.65) | 23.31% ( -2.08) | 18.78% ( -3.57) |
Both teams to score 48.79% ( 0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.39% ( 3.9) | 50.61% ( -3.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% ( 3.34) | 72.53% ( -3.34) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( 3.66) | 17.22% ( -3.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.49% ( 6.07) | 47.51% ( -6.06) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.93% ( -1.54) | 41.07% ( 1.54) |