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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
St Louis City

Portland
4 - 4
St Louis City

Rodriguez (39'), Mora (57', 65'), Evander (90+10')
Araujo (34'), Evander (65'), Rodriguez (73'), Williamson (77')
Mora (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Becher (11'), Lowen (34' pen.), Teuchert (45+2'), Thorisson (58')
Thorisson (50'), Hartel (60'), Horn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 4-2 St Louis City
Wednesday, August 14 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 St Louis City

While St Louis had the home advantage when these two met in the Leagues Cup, they followed up with a very good away performance a few days later and only let the match slip away in the final 10 minutes. Portland will be tough to beat but we feel City will be able to take a share of the spoils from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
68.24% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 17.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 14.58% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.71% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)30.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)51.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.86% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)8.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.46% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.54% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)33.62% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)70.26% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 68.24%
    St Louis City 14.58%
    Draw 17.18%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.52% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 68.24%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 17.18%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: Portland vs St Louis City

Portland Timbers
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
St Louis City
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32
St Louis City
3-1
Portland
Teuchert (51'), Hartel (83'), Becher (88')
Bravo (54')
Aug 10, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32
St Louis City
3-1
Portland
Teuchert (51'), Hartel (83'), Becher (88')
Bravo (54')
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-0
Portland
Nilsson (45+4'), Markanich (45+2'), Kijima (51'), Pompeu (67'), Durkin (81'), Totland (83')
Zuparic (53'), Lowen (82'), Mora (83')
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
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Ravens
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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