Major League Soccer

Sep 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
0 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')

Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Vancouver
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls

It is a real possibility that both New York clubs will miss the MLS Cup playoffs in the same season for the first time, as we are nearing closer to now or never time for each. Many of their encounters this year have not gone their way, but NYCFC have created more scoring opportunities from one match to another when compared to the Red Bulls, and that is why we believe the home side will triumph on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
56.49% ( 0.02)	24.2% ( -0.02)	19.31% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.07% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.63% (

0.07)

53.36% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

0.06)

74.9% (

-0.05)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.24% (

0.03)

18.75% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.86% (

0.05)

50.14% (

-0.05)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.93% (

0.04)

42.06% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.51% (

0.04)

78.49% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 56.49%

New York Red Bulls 19.31%

Draw 24.19%

New York City FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.49%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.31%