MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:58:18| >> :60:140:140:
Minnesota United
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 3, 2024 at 1am UK
Allianz Field
Real Salt Lake

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Rosales (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eneli (75')
Crooks (90+9')
Minnesota Utd win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Minnesota Utd (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.50am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Minnesota Utd (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.50am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-0 Real Salt Lake (Minnesota United win series 2-0)

St. Clair is on top of his game right now, and we believe he may be able to steal another match for the Loons against a frustrated RSL team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.78%) and 1-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
47.08% (0.167 0.17) 21.78% (-0.403 -0.4) 31.13% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 67.97% (1.68 1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (2.139 2.14)31.6% (-2.146 -2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.9% (2.474 2.47)53.09% (-2.481 -2.48)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.9% (0.85900000000001 0.86)14.09% (-0.866 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.29% (1.661 1.66)41.71% (-1.666 -1.67)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (1.171 1.17)20.87% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (1.809 1.81)53.57% (-1.815 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 47.09%
    Real Salt Lake 31.13%
    Draw 21.78%
Minnesota UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.503 -0.5)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-2 @ 4.53% (0.218 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.124 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.171 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.16% (0.126 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.443 -0.44)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.128 0.13)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.357 -0.36)
3-3 @ 2.37% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.61% (-0.378 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.191 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.122 0.12)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.13%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Salt Lake

Minnesota United
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Real Salt Lake
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 12.50am
Salt Lake
0-0
Minnesota Utd
(Aggregate 0-0 | Minnesota Utd win 5-4 on penalties)
Abel Diaz Beleno (8'), Trapp (80')
Oct 3, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
0-0
Minnesota Utd
Vera (32'), Arango (90')
Vera (90+3')
Abel Diaz Beleno (5'), Dotson (24'), Yeboah (34'), Boxall (89')
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
Oluwaseyi (86')
Rosales (40'), Trapp (45+1')
Rosales (89')
Arango (24')
Katranis (64'), MacMath (82'), Eneli (90+1')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Musovski (79'), Glad (90+8')
Silva (58')
Dotson (27'), Reynoso (39')
Irwin (90+2')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
Glad (31' og.)
Amarilla (4'), Taylor (73')
Savarino (28')
Glad (45+7'), Ojeda (59'), Rubin (71'), Mastroeni (73')
rhs 2.0
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