We said: Dallas 1-2 New York City FC
Off the back of a comfortable victory over the Revs, New York City FC will head into the game with renewed confidence as they look to go top of the log in the East. While we expect a cagey contest against a Dallas side who have proven tough to crack in this fixture, we are backing the Pigeons to claim all three points on Wednesday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.