Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta2 - 2NY City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 NY City
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Atlanta United 1-1 New York City FC
The last three times these sides have met, it has ended in a draw and given how well they each know each other, we do not see a distinct advantage for one side over the other on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
51.45% ( 0.05) | 23.01% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
