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New York City
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Orlando City

NY City
4 - 2
Orlando City

Rodriguez (15'), Wolf (45+4'), Ojeda (45+12'), Bakrar (90+4')
Martins (78'), Freese (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Dan Thor­halls­son (72'), McGuire (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-0 NY City
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Orlando City

Moralez may soon be ready to play a full game, and his presence could make a massive difference for the Boys in Blue on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
51.01% (-0.138 -0.14) 22.94% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.06% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 59.68% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.82% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (0.097999999999999 0.1)63.2% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)45.57% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.152 0.15)28.83% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.189 0.19)64.69% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.01%
    Orlando City 26.06%
    Draw 22.93%
New York City FCDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 26.06%

How you voted: NY City vs Orlando City

New York City FC
82.1%
Draw
14.3%
Orlando City
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
May 18, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Carlos (50')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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