Major League Soccer

Mar 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
3 - 3
Montreal

Martinez (6'), Almada (85'), Lennon (90+2')
Gutman (4'), Sosa (90+4')
Dwyer (67')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Mihailovic (28'), Kone (37'), Quioto (42' pen.)
Kone (10'), Miller (31'), Quioto (31'), Lappalainen (72'), Miljevic (82'), Camacho (90+1'), Johnston (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 CF Montreal

Physically and mentally, Montreal appear drained and in desperate need of a break to regroup, while their defending so far is leaving a lot to be desired. Atlanta still tend to give away some quality scoring opportunities, but that should not matter too much against a side low on confidence and likely pretty tired, with little time to rest, following a midweek encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	CF Montreal
61.1%	21.91%	16.98%

Both teams to score 49.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35%

47.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15%

69.84%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.89%

15.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.34%

43.66%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.55%

41.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.05%

77.95%

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 61.09%

CF Montreal 16.98%

Draw 21.91%

Atlanta United	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 6.21% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.09%	1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.91%	0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.98%