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Manchester City logo
Champions League | Round of 16
Mar 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Man City
2 - 0
Borussia M'bach

De Bruyne (12'), Gundogan (18')
Cancelo (55'), Fernandinho (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lainer (61')

Preview: Manchester City vs. Borussia Monchengladbach - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Man City and Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester City will be aiming to book their spot in the Champions League quarter-finals when they take on Borussia Monchengladbach in the second leg of their last-16 tie at the Puskas Arena in Budapest.

Goals from Bernardo Silva and Gabriel Jesus saw the Premier League leaders ease to a 2-0 win in the first leg, and Monchengladbach head into the match in the midst of an abysmal run of form.


Match preview

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on March 7, 2021© Reuters

With the Premier League title all but wrapped up, and a domestic trophy cabinet full to the brim with FA and EFL Cups, Pep Guardiola would love nothing more than to end his Champions League hoodoo at the Etihad Stadium this time around.

After sweeping aside the competition in the group stage, Man City needed no second invitation to assume control of their last-16 battle in the first leg thanks to goals from Silva and Jesus, with Guardiola's men now bidding to make the quarter-finals for the fourth year in a row, and hopefully not be knocked out at that stage four years in a row.

Indeed, City have been sent packing in the last eight by Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and Lyon in the past three seasons, but they head into the second leg of their last-16 tie with Monchengladbach having gone 616 minutes without conceding a goal in the tournament, and there is genuine belief that this could be City's year on the biggest stage of them all.

Tuesday's game is technically City's 'home' leg despite the rearranged venue, but they have never failed to progress in Europe after marching to victory in the first leg away from home and will be expected to breeze past an out-of-form Monchengladbach this week, especially with no players injured, suspended or at risk of suspension.

A much-changed Man City outfit broke Fulham's defensive resolve to triumph 3-0 at Craven Cottage at the weekend, as a certain Sergio Aguero finally got off the mark for the Premier League season from the penalty spot in that game, and having won 23 of their last 24 games across all competitions, even the most ardent of Monchengladbach supporters cannot be expecting miracles from their team in Budapest.

Borussia Monchengladbach manager Marco Rose pictured on February 20, 2021© Reuters

Marco Rose is hardly enjoying the send-off he would have liked in the Monchengladbach dugout, as he has now witnessed his side go eight matches without a win as they lost for the sixth game in a row following a 3-1 defeat to Augsburg on Friday night.

Rose has not witnessed his side come up trumps in any competition since a 2-1 win at Stuttgart in the DFB-Pokal on February 3 - before he announced that Borussia Dortmund would be his next destination - and given Monchengladbach's truly woeful form of late, many are starting to question whether the appointment of the 44-year-old was a shrewd or naive move from the Dortmund hierarchy.

However, Rose has been publicly backed by Dortmund director Michael Zorc ahead of next season, but for now, the Monchengladbach boss cannot allow his mind to wander after six successive defeats, with Die Fohlen now facing an uphill battle to even qualify for Europe let alone challenge with the continent's big boys.

While making the last 16 represents Monchengladbach's best ever finish in the Champions League at the third attempt, Rose's underperforming cohort have simply capitulated since successfully navigating a group with Real Madrid and Inter Milan, and it would take a brave soul to bet against Man City easing into the quarter-finals now.

The Bundesliga outfit have only ever emerged victorious in one of their seven meetings with Man City - a 3-1 win in the 1978-78 UEFA Cup - with the Manchester giants winning four out of their last five against Monchengladbach since the 2015-16 Champions League campaign.

Manchester City Champions League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Borussia Monchengladbach Champions League form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Borussia Monchengladbach form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L


Team News

Kevin De Bruyne in action for Manchester City during the derby on March 7, 2021© Reuters

There was one point in the season where City's absentee list stretched into double figures, but incredibly, Guardiola has a fully-fit and fearsome contingent from which to pick from this week.

The former Barcelona boss surprisingly opted to start John Stones, Aymeric Laporte and Ruben Dias together at Craven Cottage, but with City expected to revert to a traditional four-man defence this week, Laporte may be the unlucky one to drop out after Stones demonstrated his goalscoring prowess once again at the weekend.

Raheem Sterling, Kevin De Bruyne, Riyad Mahrez and Ilkay Gundogan were all given a complete rest at the weekend and should return here, while Kyle Walker and Oleksandr Zinchenko will both hope to reprise their roles in the rearguard.

Two Monchengladbach players who played the full 90 minutes in the first leg - Ramy Bensebaini and Christoph Kramer - both missed out against Augsburg and are not expected to feature this week.

There is more optimism over Bensebaini's fitness than Kramer's, but Rose will not be prepared to risk either player given the importance of their upcoming Bundesliga fixtures, so Oscar Wendt and Denis Zakaria - linked with Liverpool - should fill the voids in the visitors' lineup.

Valentino Lazaro's spot on the right-hand side of the attack is not secure, but other than that, Rose will stick with the majority of the side from Friday's dampening defeat to Augsburg.

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Walker, Dias, Stones, Zinchenko; Fernandinho, Gundogan, De Bruyne; Mahrez, Jesus, Sterling

Borussia Monchengladbach possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Lainer, Ginter, Elvedi, Wendt; Neuhaus, Zakaria; Hofmann, Stindl, Thuram; Plea


SM words green background

We say: Manchester City 2-0 Borussia Monchengladbach

City's defence has appeared slightly shakier than usual in recent weeks, but Guardiola's men should have no problems whatsoever repeating their first-leg performance and getting the job done in style. Monchengladbach and their soon-to-be ex-manager just cannot find inspiration from anywhere on the pitch at the moment, and we expect City to chalk up another two-goal triumph on their way to the last eight.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Man City vs Borussia M'bach

Manchester City
90.0%
Draw
5.8%
Borussia Monchengladbach
4.2%
309
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Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on March 7, 2021
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