Minnesota Utd2 - 0Salt Lake
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 22 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, March 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Minnesota United 3-2 Real Salt Lake
Both teams have been significantly porous in defence of late, and we expect that to translate to a goalfest on Sunday. That said, we are backing the home side to come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
49.47% ( 0.1) | 22.88% ( -0.05) | 27.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( 0.2) | 39.26% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( 0.21) | 61.6% ( -0.21) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0.11) | 16.11% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.47% ( 0.2) | 45.52% ( -0.2) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( 0.07) | 26.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.81% ( 0.1) | 62.19% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 27.64% |
