Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 28.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.