Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.39%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.