Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Pau had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.