Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (12.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.